Weather Bulletin August 10, 2020 11 AM

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #3-FINAL

FOR: TROPICAL DEPRESSION “#FerdiePH”

TROPICAL CYCLONE: ALERT

ISSUED AT 11:00 AM, 10 August 2020

“FERDIE” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR).

Track and intensity outlook:
• FERDIE exited the northwestern boundary of the PAR at 9:00 AM today. It is forecast to move generally northward over the West Philippine Sea and likely to make landfall over Fujian Province in southeastern China tomorrow morning.

• FERDIE is likely to reach tropical storm category today and weaken into a low pressure area tomorrow evening after landfall.

Hazards affecting land:

• The combined effects of FERDIE and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring strong breeze-force to near gale-force winds over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA. Gusty conditions are more likely in coastal and mountainous regions of these areas.

• Today, FERDIE and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring monsoon rains over Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, and occasional rains over Batanes, Cagayan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region and Central Luzon.

• Flooding and rain-induced landslide may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. The public and local disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to monitor the Rainfall/Thunderstorm Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings from PAGASA Regional Services Divisions and take appropriate measures.

Hazards affecting coastal waters:
• Gale Warning is in effect over the seaboards of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, western coast of Batangas, western coast of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, Calamian Islands, Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, and Isabela (2.5 to 4.5 m). Sea travel is risky over these areas due to rough to very rough seas.

• Those with small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out over the seaboards of Visayas and the rest of Luzon due to moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.8 m).
Other weather disturbances being monitored:

• At 10:00 AM today, Tropical Storm JANGMI (2005) was estimated based on all available data at 1,510 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (32.9°N, 128.0°E). It currently has maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 105 km/h. It is moving north-northeastward at 55 km/h and is forecast to make landfall over South Jeolla Province in South Korea this afternoon.

• At 10:00 AM today, the Tropical Depression outside the PAR was estimated based on all available data at 2,515 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (26.2°N, 145.8°E). It has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving northwestward at 10 km/h and remains unlikely to enter the PAR.

Location of eye/center At 10:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression “FERDIE” was estimated based on all available data at 265 km West Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 315 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR)(19.5°N, 118.5°E).

Strength Maximum winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h.
Movement Moving Northward at 15 km/h.

Forecast Positions

• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 580 km North Northwest of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) (24.8°N, 118.9°E)

• 48 Hour (Wednesday morning):800 km North Northwest of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) (27.0°N, 118.7°E)
NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
With this development and unless re-entry occurs, this is the final warning for this weather disturbance.